- Raises concerns over fiscal sustainability
James Emejo in Abuja
A report by the Alliance for Economic Research and Ethics (AERE), yesterday criticised commercial banks for abandoning their core intermediation role to support economic growth as N91.1 trillion remained sterilised at the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) standing deposit window.
The report lamented the scale of idle liquidity parked at the CBN, noting that this represented not financial strength, but a structural failure of credit allocation, adding that the country’s real sector was being systematically starved of capital.
Seperately, Alliance also Alliance also raised concerns over the sustainability of the country’s fiscal position, warning that despite improvements in government revenue, persistent leakages, rising debt obligations and weak capital spending continued to undermine budgetary effectiveness.
The policy advocacy group said recent fiscal indicators suggested that government revenues are improving and budget deficits are narrowing, but stressed that the gains remained insufficient to offset mounting spending pressures and the growing burden of debt servicing.
Nonethless, it said, “The N91.1 trillion is not a sign of banking strength. It is a symptom of banking failure — a failure of intermediation, a failure of purpose, and a failure of national duty.”
AERE is a policy think tank chaired by Hon. Dele Oye, a former National President, Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and Agriculture (NACCIMA).
Oye is the immediate Past Chairman of the Organised Private Sector of Nigeria (OPSN) and Chairman of the Nigeria-Türkiye Business Council (NTBC).
The report said, “The banks have a choice: self-regulate, reintermediate, and remember their source or face intervention that will be neither gentle nor forgiving.”
It highlighted what it described as a “cosmetic drop” in CBN standing deposit facility placements from N92.32 trillion in April 2026 to N91.1 trillion in May, arguing that the marginal decline obscures a far more troubling structural reality.
It noted that deposits surged to N128.9 trillion in March 2026, before moderating slightly in subsequent months, but still reflected an extraordinary liquidity concentration at the apex bank.
The report estimated that banks cumulatively placed N425.86 trillion with the CBN in the first five months of 2026 alone — a figure described as “an almost 700 per cent year-on-year increase” compared to the same period in 2025.
“This is not banking. This is financial mercantilism — the capture of state-derived liquidity for private gain, with minimal productive intermediation,” the report said.
At the same time, borrowing from the CBN’s Standing Lending Facility (SLF) reportedly collapsed by 94.9 per cent, to N2.2 trillion from N43.42 trillion, reinforcing what it called a system where banks no longer need to lend to survive.
The report maintained that much of what is recorded as banking strength is, in reality, illusory, and identified three categories of “contingent assets” that distort balance sheet realities.
First are performance bonds and guarantees tied to government contracts, which are largely risk-free fiscal obligations repackaged as banking assets.
The other are delayed government payments and forbearance arrangements, which the report described as “deferred public liabilities masquerading as productive credit.”
The third category involved thecollapse of import credit demand, as firms shift away from letters of credit due to stabilising exchange rates.
According to the report, these dynamics had left banks “flush with liquidity but allergic to lending,” with treasury managers rationally opting to park funds at the CBN’s risk-free window.
The report situated the behaviour of banks within the country’s high interest rate environment, noting that the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) stands at 26.5 percent, while the CBN Standing Deposit Facility offers 22.5 percent risk-free returns.
This, it said, creates a structural incentive problem.
The report said, “A bank treasurer faces a simple arithmetic: lend to a manufacturer at 30–35 percent over several years with multiple risks, or park funds at 22.5 percent overnight with zero risk.”
It further cites the asymmetric policy corridor designed by the CBN, which was intended to stabilise liquidity but had instead encouraged what it called “systemic sterilisation.
While acknowledging regulatory intent, the report argued that the policy has inadvertently prioritised financial stability over productive credit creation, stressing that the absence of credit to the real sector was “not a bug in the system. It is becoming a feature”.
Among other things, it referenced constrained lending to manufacturing, agriculture, and SMEs, alongside persistently high interest rates and limited access to long-term credit.
AERE warned that liquidity sterilisation at the CBN was undermining monetary policy effectiveness and inflation control.
The report also referenced recent CBN data indicating that credit to the private sector contracted by N14.02 trillion between February and April 2026, falling to N80.59 trillion.
At the same time, banks recorded record profits, with top-tier institutions reportedly posting a combined N5.54 trillion profit-after-tax in 2024 alone, a 53 per cent increase year-on-year.
It added that the “paradox is stark: banks are thriving while the economy they are meant to finance is starved of credit.”
However, it urged banks to take voluntary reform or risk facing regulatory intervention.
AERE proposed a mandatory sectoral lending quotas for manufacturing, agriculture, and SMEs, and a possible reduction or cap on returns from the CBN standing deposit facility.
It also recommended recalibration of the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) to penalise non-productive deposits, alongside differential treatment for funds directed into real-sector lending.
It further suggested mandatory disclosure of “contingent assets” to expose the true composition of bank balance sheets, arguing that current reporting standards obscure the extent of non-productive holdings.
A windfall tax on excess earnings from CBN placements was also proposed, with proceeds redirected into a Real Sector Credit Fund among other recommendations.
The report stated, “Nigerian banks have forgotten that their source is the real economy the farmer, the manufacturer, the trader, the entrepreneur. They have become dams, not rivers. They capture N91.1 trillion of national liquidity, earn 22.5 per cent risk-free, and report record profits while the economy they are meant to serve gasps for credit.
“The N91.1 trillion is not a sign of banking strength. It is a symptom of banking failure a failure of intermediation, a failure of purpose, and a failure of national duty.
“The banks have a choice: self-regulate, reintermediate, and remember their source or face intervention that will be neither gentle nor forgiving. The clock is ticking.”
However, speaking in its latest podcast titled, “Nigeria’s Budget: Glass Half Full or Quietly Leaking?”, the group noted that while headline figures portray a stronger fiscal outlook, underlying structural weaknesses continued to threaten the country’s economic transformation agenda.
It stated that a significant portion of government earnings is increasingly being channelled towards servicing debt rather than financing critical development projects capable of stimulating growth and improving productivity.
It warned that debt service commitments had become a dominant feature of the budget, limiting the fiscal space available for investments in infrastructure, education and other productive sectors of the economy.
The group argued that the challenge facing the country extended beyond revenue generation, adding that concerns persist over how public resources are deployed and managed.
It identified leakages, inefficiencies and structural imbalances within the fiscal system as major obstacles preventing government spending from delivering its intended economic impact.
The alliance further observed that capital expenditure remained inadequate to drive meaningful transformation in the real economy, stressing that current spending levels are insufficient to support the scale of infrastructure development and industrial expansion required to accelerate growth.
According to the group,”On paper, Nigeria’s budget looks stronger, revenues are improving, deficits narrowing.
“For look closer and something is leaking. Yes, revenues are growing, but not fast enough to match spending pressures or debt obligations. Government earnings still struggle to carry the weight of the system.
“A growing share of revenue isn’t building roads or funding industries. It’s servicing debt. Debt service dominates, bending our budget to the breaking point.
“The issue isn’t just how much Nigeria earns. It’s how effectively those funds are used. Likages, inefficiencies and structural imbalances continue to drain impact.
“Capital expenditure remains too weak to transform the real economy. No meaningful scale in infrastructure, no serious push for productivity. The path forward is clear.”
It said, “Strengthen revenue systems, cut in efficiencies, prioritize productive investment. This is where evidence-based policy matters. Our budget is leaking funds to outdated programs.
“We must fix the leak and fund the future. Investing in education and infrastructure now is essential. A budget is not just numbers. It’s a reflection of national priority. Fix the leak, fund the future. This is our call to action.”